Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:03·NE 19, TB 14

   (:03) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass incomplete deep middle to 80-O.Howard (31-J.Jones).

   +34pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:19·NE 19, TB 14

   (:19) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 84-C.Brate to NE 19 for 17 yards (37-J.Richards).

   +15pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:10·NE 0, TB 0

   (13:10) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle intended for 15-C.Hogan INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Evans at TB 36. 21-J.Evans pushed ob at TB 38 for 2 yards (15-C.Hogan).

   +10pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:14·NE 19, TB 14

   (1:14) (Field Goal formation) 3-S.Gostkowski 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.

   +9pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q1 · 3:10·NE 0, TB 0

   (3:10) 33-D.Lewis right tackle pushed ob at TB 14 for 31 yards (21-J.Evans).

   +9pp

   NWE