Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 14:10·TB 0, NE 0

   (14:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens ran ob at TB 41 for 32 yards.

   +10pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:39·TB 0, NE 7

   (4:39) 8-J.Miller punts 53 yards to end zone, Center-66-L.Paxton, Touchback. PENALTY on TB-56-R.Nece, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at NE 47 - No Play.

   +9pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:32·TB 0, NE 14

   (1:32) (No Huddle) 2-C.Simms sacked at TB 36 for -8 yards (50-M.Vrabel). FUMBLES (50-M.Vrabel), RECOVERED by NE-55-W.McGinest at TB 41. 55-W.McGinest to TB 22 for 19 yards (81-A.Smith). PENALTY on NE-55-W.McGinest, Illegal Forward Pass, 5 yards, enforced at TB 22.

   +7pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:35·TB 0, NE 7

   (2:35) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 86-T.Dwight to TB 6 for 27 yards (23-J.Phillips). PENALTY on TB-97-S.Rice, Face Mask (15 Yards), 3 yards, enforced at TB 6. Brady sets new

   +6pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:44·TB 0, NE 7

   (3:44) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria to TB 27 for 17 yards (21-J.Bolden).

   +6pp

   NWE