Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:34·NE 16, BUF 10

   (1:34) (Shotgun) 5-M.Barkley pass short right intended for 15-J.Brown INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Collins at NE 38. 58-J.Collins to NE 49 for 11 yards (67-Q.Spain).

   +16pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:30·NE 12, BUF 0

   (6:30) 9-C.Bojorquez punt is BLOCKED by 27-J.Jackson, Center-69-R.Ferguson, RECOVERED by NE-18-M.Slater at BUF 11. 18-M.Slater for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 4:06·NE 13, BUF 10

   (4:06) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right intended for 11-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Jackson [53-K.Van Noy] at BUF 43. 27-J.Jackson to BUF 42 for 1 yard (11-Z.Jones). Receiver and coverage along sideline. The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +13pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 14:26·NE 16, BUF 10

   (14:26) M.Barkley in at QB. (Shotgun) 5-M.Barkley pass deep right to 15-J.Brown to NE 17 for 28 yards (24-S.Gilmore). Caught along sideline at NE 18. Penalty on NE-24-S.Gilmore, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +13pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 10:50·NE 16, BUF 10

   (10:50) (Shotgun) 5-M.Barkley pass short right intended for 11-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 23-P.Chung at NE -2. Touchback. Ball deflected off hands of Z.Jones at NE 3 before INT. The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 5-M.Barkley pass incomplete short right to 11-Z.Jones. Ball deflected off hands of Z.Jones at NE 3 before bouncing to P.Chung 2 yds. into end zone.

   +12pp

   NWE