Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 9:12·DEN 3, KC 3

   (9:12) (Shotgun) 25-M.Gordon up the middle pushed ob at KC 18 for 65 yards (22-J.Thornhill).

   +16pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 13:44·DEN 0, KC 0

   (13:44) (Shotgun) 3-D.Lock pass deep left to 87-N.Fant pushed ob at KC 35 for 37 yards (22-J.Thornhill).

   +13pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:36·DEN 0, KC 0

   (12:36) (Shotgun) 3-D.Lock pass deep left intended for 84-T.Fumagalli INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC 10. 32-T.Mathieu to KC 10 for no gain (84-T.Fumagalli).

   +11pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q3 · 1:13·DEN 16, KC 18

   (1:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 87-T.Kelce for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DEN-57-D.Walker, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +11pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:09·DEN 16, KC 22

   (1:09) 7-H.Butker 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.

   +9pp

   DEN