Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:03·KC 20, DEN 23

   (2:03) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 84-D.Harris ran ob at DEN 11 for 35 yards.

   +24pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:16·KC 27, DEN 23

   (:16) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass short left to 14-C.Sutton to KC 19 for 9 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by KC-50-J.Houston at KC 25. 50-J.Houston to KC 25 for no gain (72-G.Bolles). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass incomplete short left to 14-C.Sutton.

   +17pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:56·KC 27, DEN 23

   (:56) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass deep middle to 82-J.Heuerman to KC 28 for 36 yards (38-R.Parker) [25-A.Watts].

   +17pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 11:34·KC 10, DEN 13

   (11:34) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 87-T.Kelce to DEN 3 for 29 yards (29-B.Roby).

   +16pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:02·KC 27, DEN 23

   (1:02) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass short right to 10-E.Sanders pushed ob at DEN 36 for 12 yards (22-O.Scandrick).

   +14pp

   DEN