Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:52·DEN 0, KC 0

   (9:52) 4-C.Keenum pass deep right to 10-E.Sanders pushed ob at KC 14 for 49 yards (38-R.Parker).

   +11pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:59·DEN 7, KC 3

   (10:59) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 10-T.Hill to DEN 14 for 40 yards (29-B.Roby).

   +11pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:46·DEN 14, KC 16

   (10:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to DEN 21 for 18 yards (31-J.Simmons; 35-Dy.Thomas) [48-S.Barrett]. PENALTY on DEN-48-S.Barrett, Roughing the Passer, 11 yards, enforced at DEN 21.

   +10pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:12·DEN 13, KC 16

   (:12) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass deep right to 81-T.Patrick for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:46·DEN 7, KC 3

   (11:46) 8-B.McManus 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman.

   +7pp

   KAN