Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:45·HOU 6, DET 7

   (4:45) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 45-J.Cabinda INTERCEPTED by 99-J.Watt at DET 19. 99-J.Watt for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:32·HOU 6, DET 7

   (4:32) 41-J.Williams right tackle to DET 28 for 5 yards (50-T.Adams, 90-R.Blacklock). FUMBLES (50-T.Adams), touched at DET 28, RECOVERED by HOU-21-B.Roby at DET 30. 21-B.Roby to DET 30 for no gain (76-O.Aboushi).

   +18pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:54·HOU 13, DET 7

   (14:54) (Shotgun) 24-C.Prosise up the middle to HOU 25 for 4 yards (58-J.Collins). FUMBLES (58-J.Collins), RECOVERED by DET-51-J.Tavai at HOU 26.

   +16pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q2 · 15:00·HOU 13, DET 7

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 33-K.Johnson up the middle to HOU 22 for 5 yards (92-B.Dunn, 50-T.Adams). Houston challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 33-K.Johnson up the middle to HOU 23 for 4 yards (92-B.Dunn, 50-T.Adams). FUMBLES (50-T.Adams), RECOVERED by HOU-92-B.Dunn at HOU 21.

   +16pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:35·HOU 0, DET 0

   (8:35) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 88-T.Hockenson to HOU 17 for 51 yards (32-L.Johnson).

   +10pp

   DET