Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 9:43·HOU 31, DET 31

   (9:43) 17-S.Graham 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-5-D.Jones.

   +40pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q5 · 14:06·HOU 31, DET 31

   (14:06) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 87-B.Pettigrew to HOU 32 for 8 yards (38-D.Manning). FUMBLES (38-D.Manning), RECOVERED by HOU-51-D.Sharpton at HOU 35. 51-D.Sharpton to HOU 35 for no gain (35-J.Bell).

   +35pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q5 · 3:04·HOU 31, DET 31

   (3:04) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 86-J.Casey to DET 14 for 11 yards (55-S.Tulloch).

   +27pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q5 · 6:27·HOU 31, DET 31

   (6:27) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 85-T.Scheffler pushed ob at HOU 28 for 14 yards (38-D.Manning).

   +27pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q5 · 3:46·HOU 31, DET 31

   (3:46) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 80-A.Johnson to DET 25 for 23 yards (23-C.Houston). The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +26pp

   HOU