Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:44·BAL 10, NYJ 9

   (1:44) 4-S.Koch punts 18 yards to NYJ 18, Center-46-M.Cox, fair catch by 36-J.Leonhard.

   +28pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q2 · 5:17·BAL 0, NYJ 6

   (5:17) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left intended for 81-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Cromartie at NYJ 3. 31-A.Cromartie pushed ob at BAL 31 for 66 yards (5-J.Flacco). Baltimore challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 04:58.)

   +20pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:41·BAL 10, NYJ 9

   (:41) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short right to 81-D.Keller ran ob at NYJ 40 for 9 yards.

   +18pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q1 · 1:46·BAL 0, NYJ 3

   (1:46) 23-W.McGahee left tackle to NYJ 20 for no gain (57-B.Scott, 50-V.Gholston). FUMBLES (57-B.Scott), RECOVERED by NYJ-91-S.Pouha at NYJ 22. 91-S.Pouha to NYJ 22 for no gain (77-M.Birk).

   +17pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 12:37·BAL 0, NYJ 0

   (12:37) 5-J.Flacco sacked at BAL 18 for -2 yards (sack split by 92-S.Ellis and 58-B.Thomas). FUMBLES (92-S.Ellis), RECOVERED by NYJ-91-S.Pouha at BAL 13. 91-S.Pouha to BAL 11 for 2 yards (66-B.Grubbs).

   +16pp

   NYJ