Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 0:10·NO 6, TB 0

   (:10) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 80-O.Howard INTERCEPTED by 56-D.Davis (43-M.Williams) at TB 17. 56-D.Davis to TB 16 for 1 yard (80-O.Howard).

   +15pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:19·NO 0, TB 0

   (12:19) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 87-J.Cook to TB 30 for 30 yards (39-A.Adams).

   +9pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:59·NO 0, TB 0

   (10:59) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill sacked at TB 37 for -9 yards (34-M.Edwards).

   +6pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:43·NO 20, TB 0

   (3:43) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 10-S.Miller for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 10-S.Miller to NO 1 for 48 yards (22-C.Gardner-Johnson).

   +5pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:22·NO 20, TB 10

   (8:22) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 13-M.Thomas pushed ob at TB 17 for 41 yards (39-A.Adams).

   +5pp

   NOR