Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:15·NO 24, TB 29

   (:15) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 12-C.Godwin for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +43pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q4 · 14:19·NO 17, TB 19

   (14:19) (Punt formation) 9-B.Anger punts 54 yards to NO 14, Center-65-G.Sanborn. 11-T.Lewis to NO 7 for -7 yards (26-J.Robinson). FUMBLES (26-J.Robinson), RECOVERED by TB-39-I.Johnson at NO 7. 39-I.Johnson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +37pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:41·NO 24, TB 23

   (1:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 84-C.Brate to TB 17 for 12 yards (25-R.Bush).

   +19pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:00·NO 14, TB 13

   (2:00) 3-J.Winston pass short left intended for 25-P.Barber INTERCEPTED by 52-C.Robertson at NO 42. 52-C.Robertson to NO 42 for no gain (25-P.Barber).

   +17pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:42·NO 6, TB 7

   7-P.Murray kicks 71 yards from TB 35 to NO -6. 41-A.Kamara for 106 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   NOR