Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 2:27·DEN 10, GB 10

   (2:27) 5-J.Flacco sacked at DEN 11 for -7 yards (91-P.Smith). FUMBLES (91-P.Smith) [91-P.Smith], touched at DEN 5, RECOVERED by GB-52-R.Gary at DEN 5. 52-R.Gary to DEN 5 for no gain (66-D.Risner).

   +17pp

   GNB
2. 2
   Q3 · 1:49·DEN 16, GB 24

   (1:49) 5-J.Flacco pass incomplete short left to 10-E.Sanders. PENALTY on DEN-65-R.Leary, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at GB 38 - No Play. Green Bay challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 5-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 10-E.Sanders INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Savage at GB 28. 26-D.Savage to GB 28 for no gain. Penalty on DEN-65-R.Leary, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +10pp

   GNB
3. 3
   Q3 · 3:06·DEN 16, GB 24

   (3:06) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton to GB 41 for 52 yards (20-K.King).

   +10pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:22·DEN 0, GB 6

   (12:22) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 83-M.Valdes-Scantling for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DEN-58-V.Miller, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +9pp

   GNB
5. 5
   Q3 · 13:50·DEN 10, GB 17

   (13:50) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 87-N.Fant to DEN 37 for 4 yards (23-J.Alexander). FUMBLES (23-J.Alexander), RECOVERED by GB-23-J.Alexander at DEN 37. 23-J.Alexander to DEN 14 for 23 yards (30-P.Lindsay). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 87-N.Fant to DEN 37 for 4 yards (23-J.Alexander). FUMBLES (23-J.Alexander), RECOVERED by GB-23-J.Alexander at DEN 37. 23-J.Alexander to DEN 37 for no gain (87-N.Fant).

   +9pp

   GNB