Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 0:42·MIN 10, NE 16

   (:42) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 10-J.Gordon for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 508th career TD pass, ties Favre for 3rd-most all-time. NE 12-Brady 579th career TD pass (including postseason), ties P.Manning for most all-time.

   +13pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:01·MIN 7, NE 10

   (:01) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 28-J.White to MIN 11 for 42 yards (22-H.Smith).

   +10pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 15:00·MIN 10, NE 17

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at MIN 20 for -10 yards (98-T.Flowers).

   +7pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 3:57·MIN 7, NE 10

   (3:57) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 82-K.Rudolph pushed ob at NE 40 for 5 yards (22-O.Melifonwu). New England challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)

   +7pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q3 · 6:26·MIN 7, NE 10

   (6:26) 3-S.Gostkowski 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.

   +7pp

   MIN