Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 8:14·MIN 10, NE 13

   (8:14) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 19-B.Tate for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 237th career TD pass, ties Jim Kelly for 17th place all-time. NE 19-Tate 1st career TD reception.

   +22pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 4:25·MIN 10, NE 14

   (4:25) 4-B.Favre pass short right intended for 12-P.Harvin INTERCEPTED by 32-D.McCourty at NE 26. 32-D.McCourty to MIN 37 for 37 yards (83-J.Dugan).

   +20pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:02·MIN 18, NE 21

   (4:02) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 39-D.Woodhead to MIN 40 for 16 yards (96-B.Robison).

   +10pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 10:28·MIN 7, NE 6

   (10:28) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 39-D.Woodhead. 39-D.Woodhead up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:07·MIN 7, NE 7

   (1:07) 62-R.Cook reported in as eligible. 28-A.Peterson right guard to NE 3 for -2 yards (96-J.Cunningham, 55-B.Spikes).

   +9pp

   NWE