Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:08·DEN 7, KC 20

   (1:08) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:41·DEN 0, KC 0

   (11:41) (Shotgun) 10-T.Hill right end pushed ob at DEN 41 for 28 yards (51-T.Davis).

   +7pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:31·DEN 0, KC 13

   (5:31) 10-T.Hill left end for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +6pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:47·DEN 0, KC 14

   (2:47) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep middle intended for 10-T.Hill INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Simmons [52-C.Nelson] at KC 44. 31-J.Simmons pushed ob at KC 6 for 38 yards (61-M.Morse).

   +6pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:18·DEN 0, KC 0

   (14:18) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 82-J.Heuerman to DEN 34 for 9 yards (20-S.Nelson).

   +5pp

   DEN