Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 11:02·JAX 9, TEN 15

   (11:02) 8-M.Mariota FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 32, RECOVERED by JAX-91-Y.Ngakoue at JAX 33. 91-Y.Ngakoue for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q2 · 14:17·JAX 0, TEN 6

   (14:17) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 22-D.Henry for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:00·JAX 3, TEN 6

   (2:00) (Punt formation) 6-B.Kern punts 39 yards to JAX 32, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 85-J.Mickens MUFFS catch, touched at JAX 32, RECOVERED by TEN-89-P.Supernaw at JAX 23. PENALTY on JAX-85-J.Mickens, Unnecessary Roughness, 11 yards, enforced at JAX 23.

   +11pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:15·JAX 3, TEN 9

   (1:15) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 84-K.Cole to JAX 30 for 4 yards (25-A.Jackson). FUMBLES (25-A.Jackson), RECOVERED by TEN-55-J.Brown at JAX 29. 55-J.Brown to JAX 29 for no gain (27-L.Fournette). The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +11pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:44·JAX 10, TEN 15

   (5:44) 22-D.Henry left guard to TEN 43 for -1 yards (39-T.Gipson).

   +6pp

   JAX