Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 7:40·TEN 3, JAX 3

   (7:40) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 81-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 50-T.Smith at JAX 14. 50-T.Smith to JAX 16 for 2 yards (29-D.Murray).

   +15pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q2 · 9:00·TEN 3, JAX 3

   (9:00) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles sacked at JAX 39 for -7 yards (98-B.Orakpo). FUMBLES (98-B.Orakpo), RECOVERED by TEN-93-E.Walden at JAX 39. 93-E.Walden to JAX 39 for no gain (78-J.Parnell).

   +13pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:01·TEN 3, JAX 3

   (1:01) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 18-R.Matthews to JAX 28 for 15 yards (42-B.Church).

   +10pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:21·TEN 3, JAX 3

   (2:21) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle intended for 11-M.Lee INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Riley (54-A.Williamson) at TEN 37. 35-C.Riley to TEN 39 for 2 yards (11-M.Lee).

   +9pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q3 · 14:12·TEN 6, JAX 3

   (14:12) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep middle intended for 11-M.Lee INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Searcy at JAX 47. 21-D.Searcy to JAX 39 for 8 yards (88-A.Hurns).

   +9pp

   TEN