Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 8:45·JAX 32, TEN 34

   (8:45) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota scrambles left guard for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +36pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:22·JAX 25, TEN 28

   (10:22) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at TEN 5 for -5 yards (50-T.Smith). FUMBLES (50-T.Smith) [50-T.Smith], RECOVERED by JAX-59-R.Davis at TEN 9. 59-R.Davis to TEN 9 for no gain (60-Q.Spain).

   +26pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 7:54·JAX 32, TEN 41

   (7:54) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles Aborted. 61-S.Wisniewski FUMBLES at JAX 26, RECOVERED by TEN-59-W.Woodyard at JAX 3. 59-W.Woodyard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +24pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:08·JAX 39, TEN 42

   (2:08) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles sacked at JAX 6 for -11 yards (sack split by 21-D.Searcy and 97-K.Klug).

   +14pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 15:00·JAX 19, TEN 27

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep middle to 17-D.Green-Beckham for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   TEN