Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:49·TEN 13, JAX 9

   (3:49) (Punt formation) 6-B.Kern punts 44 yards to JAX 32, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 13-R.Greene to TEN 5 for 63 yards (39-D.Stafford).

   +29pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:05·TEN 13, JAX 19

   (:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at JAX 25 for -2 yards (90-A.Branch).

   +25pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 10:55·TEN 13, JAX 9

   (10:55) 5-B.Bortles pass short right intended for 80-J.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 55-Z.Brown at TEN 12. 55-Z.Brown ran ob at TEN 12 for no gain.

   +24pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 11:37·TEN 13, JAX 9

   (11:37) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 15-A.Robinson to TEN 23 for 28 yards (33-M.Griffin).

   +18pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q2 · 8:33·TEN 6, JAX 3

   (8:33) 5-B.Bortles up the middle to TEN 41 for no gain (98-B.Orakpo). FUMBLES (98-B.Orakpo), RECOVERED by TEN-51-D.Bass at TEN 45. 51-D.Bass to TEN 45 for no gain (24-T.Yeldon).

   +15pp

   TEN