Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 11:30·NE 20, NYJ 14

   (11:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYJ-21-M.Claiborne, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +21pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 8:31·NE 24, NYJ 14

   (8:31) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short left to 88-A.Seferian-Jenkins for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short left to 88-A.Seferian-Jenkins to NE 1 for 3 yards (21-M.Butler). FUMBLES (21-M.Butler), ball out of bounds in End Zone, Touchback.

   +17pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 12:45·NE 14, NYJ 14

   (12:45) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 14-B.Cooks to NYJ 32 for 19 yards (27-D.Roberts).

   +13pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 1:03·NE 0, NYJ 7

   (1:03) 77-N.Solder reported in as eligible. 35-M.Gillislee right tackle to NYJ 22 for 5 yards (58-D.Lee). FUMBLES (58-D.Lee), RECOVERED by NYJ-41-B.Skrine at NYJ 22.

   +12pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 11:04·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (11:04) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 14-J.Kerley to NE 1 for 30 yards (31-J.Jones).

   +11pp

   NYJ