Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 11:46·NO 0, NE 6

   (11:46) 12-T.Brady pass to 32-A.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 9:58·NO 0, NE 7

   (9:58) 3-J.Carney 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-4-T.Gowin.

   +8pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:35·NO 0, NE 7

   (7:35) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 86-D.Patten. PENALTY on NO-22-F.Thomas, Defensive Pass Interference, 42 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play.

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 4:11·NO 0, NE 7

   (4:11) 3-J.Carney 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-R.Seymour), Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-4-T.Gowin, recovered by NO-4-T.Gowin at NE 30.

   +7pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 13:34·NO 0, NE 7

   (13:34) 4-A.Vinatieri 46 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-19-D.Huard.

   +7pp

   NOR