Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:22·DEN 25, NO 23

   3-W.Lutz extra point is Blocked (31-J.Simmons), Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead. DEFENSIVE TWO-POINT ATTEMPT. 34-W.Parks recovered the blocked kick. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +46pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:30·DEN 23, NO 23

   (1:30) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 10-B.Cooks for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +29pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:15·DEN 20, NO 17

   (3:15) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 13-M.Thomas to NO 18 for 5 yards (93-J.Crick). FUMBLES (93-J.Crick), RECOVERED by DEN-43-T.Ward at NO 20. 43-T.Ward to NO 20 for no gain (82-C.Fleener). Pass 3, YAC 2

   +19pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:42·DEN 10, NO 17

   (13:42) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 13-M.Thomas to DEN 48 for 12 yards (29-B.Roby). FUMBLES (29-B.Roby), RECOVERED by DEN-26-D.Stewart at DEN 45. 26-D.Stewart to NO 27 for 28 yards (9-D.Brees). Pass 5, YAC 7

   +14pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 9:41·DEN 16, NO 17

   (9:41) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 88-D.Thomas for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-P.Kruger]. Pass 2, YAC 0

   +13pp

   DEN