Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 15:00·NO 6, DEN 7

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 43-D.Sproles for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:54·NO 0, DEN 7

   (1:54) (Shotgun) 23-W.McGahee up the middle to NO 45 for -3 yards (76-A.Hicks). FUMBLES (76-A.Hicks), RECOVERED by NO-50-C.Lofton at NO 45. 50-C.Lofton to NO 45 for no gain (73-C.Kuper).

   +10pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:09·NO 0, DEN 0

   (7:09) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas to NO 31 for 41 yards (21-P.Robinson).

   +8pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 9:00·NO 7, DEN 7

   (9:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas to NO 22 for 34 yards (41-R.Harper).

   +7pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q2 · 10:47·NO 7, DEN 7

   (10:47) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 80-J.Graham to NO 45 for 18 yards (20-M.Adams; 52-W.Woodyard).

   +6pp

   NOR