Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:00·NO 32, DEN 34

   (2:00) 1-M.Gramatica 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-7-S.Weatherford.

   +34pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:44·NO 32, DEN 34

   (5:44) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 88-T.Scheffler to NO 5 for 3 yards (58-S.Shanle). FUMBLES (58-S.Shanle), RECOVERED by NO-42-J.David at NO 4. 42-J.David to NO 21 for 17 yards (62-C.Wiegmann). Denver challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #3 at 05:33.)

   +26pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:52·NO 32, DEN 34

   (4:52) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 19-D.Henderson to DEN 48 for 23 yards (41-K.Paymah, 97-B.Bailey). DEN-97-B.Bailey was injured during the play.

   +15pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:00·NO 32, DEN 34

   (:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 25-R.Bush to NO 24 for 4 yards. Lateral to 16-L.Moore to NO 22 for -2 yards (94-J.Moss).

   +14pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:19·NO 32, DEN 34

   (2:19) 23-P.Thomas right guard to DEN 25 for -1 yards (55-D.Williams).

   +10pp

   DEN