Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:46·NO 7, SF 3

   (3:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short left intended for 17-J.Kerley INTERCEPTED by 52-C.Robertson at NO 46. 52-C.Robertson to SF 25 for 29 yards (11-Q.Patton). PENALTY on SF-11-Q.Patton, Horse Collar Tackle, 13 yards, enforced at SF 25.

   +20pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q3 · 12:19·NO 31, SF 20

   (12:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-M.Davis left tackle to NO 1 for 7 yards (54-N.Stupar). FUMBLES (54-N.Stupar), RECOVERED by NO-54-N.Stupar at NO 1. 54-N.Stupar to NO 1 for no gain (22-M.Davis).

   +18pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:35·NO 0, SF 3

   (7:35) 65-S.Kelemete reported in as eligible. 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 89-J.Hill pushed ob at SF 14 for 32 yards (25-J.Ward). Caught at SF 27. 13-yds YAC

   +11pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:16·NO 28, SF 19

   (1:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 89-V.McDonald for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 39. 61-yds YAC

   +10pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q3 · 2:59·NO 31, SF 23

   (2:59) 3-W.Lutz 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead.

   +7pp

   SFO