Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 6:27·NE 20, PIT 13

   (6:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 10:24·NE 0, PIT 0

   (10:24) (Shotgun) 3-L.Jones pass deep right intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 21-M.Butler at NE -6. Touchback.

   +11pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 0:43·NE 20, PIT 13

   (:43) (Shotgun) 3-L.Jones pass deep middle to 83-C.Hamilton to NE 26 for 17 yards (26-L.Ryan) [95-C.Long].

   +11pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:51·NE 0, PIT 0

   (12:51) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 15-C.Hogan to NE 44 for 12 yards (95-J.Jones). FUMBLES (95-J.Jones), RECOVERED by PIT-95-J.Jones at NE 45. 95-J.Jones to NE 45 for no gain (15-C.Hogan). The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +9pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:13·NE 20, PIT 13

   (3:13) (Shotgun) 3-L.Jones pass short left to 83-C.Hamilton to NE 43 for 15 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +8pp

   PIT