Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 5:39·PIT 13, NE 10

   3-Je.Reed kicks 65 yards from PIT 30 to NE 5. 18-M.Slater MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by PIT-57-K.Fox at NE 8. 57-K.Fox to NE 8 for no gain (90-L.Smith).

   +20pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:53·PIT 0, NE 0

   (12:53) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right intended for 86-H.Ward INTERCEPTED by 50-M.Vrabel [93-R.Seymour] at PIT 19. 50-M.Vrabel to PIT 14 for 5 yards (39-W.Parker).

   +13pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 4:59·PIT 20, NE 10

   (4:59) (Shotgun) 16-M.Cassel sacked at NE 23 for -6 yards (92-J.Harrison). FUMBLES (92-J.Harrison), RECOVERED by PIT-56-L.Woodley at NE 26.

   +10pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:25·PIT 10, NE 10

   (1:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 33-K.Faulk up the middle pushed ob at PIT 26 for 41 yards (22-W.Gay, 56-L.Woodley).

   +9pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:21·PIT 10, NE 10

   (:21) 3-S.Gostkowski 27 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson.

   +9pp

   PIT