Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:44·PIT 0, NE 0

   (9:44) 8-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.

   +9pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 1:31·PIT 11, NE 21

   (1:31) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 11-M.Wheaton ran ob at NE 19 for 26 yards [95-C.Jones].

   +8pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:27·PIT 0, NE 7

   (10:27) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 88-D.Heyward-Bey pushed ob at NE 35 for 43 yards (24-B.Fletcher).

   +7pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:36·PIT 11, NE 21

   (13:36) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete short left to 83-H.Miller. PENALTY on NE-23-P.Chung, Defensive Pass Interference, 4 yards, enforced at NE 5 - No Play.

   +7pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q4 · 11:34·PIT 14, NE 21

   (11:34) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski to PIT 27 for 52 yards (41-A.Blake).

   +7pp

   NWE