Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:54·NE 6, PIT 0

   (9:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 7:47·NE 10, PIT 0

   (7:47) 34-R.Mendenhall right tackle to NE 29 for 34 yards (31-B.Meriweather).

   +7pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:24·NE 7, PIT 0

   (8:24) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 83-H.Miller to NE 48 for 16 yards (36-J.Sanders, 32-D.McCourty).

   +6pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q2 · 5:18·NE 10, PIT 0

   (5:18) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete short left to 82-A.Randle El.

   +6pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:44·NE 17, PIT 3

   (3:44) (Field Goal formation) 3-J.Reed 26 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-9-D.Sepulveda.

   +6pp

   NWE