Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 3:57·BUF 7, BAL 15

   (3:57) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right intended for 81-P.Price INTERCEPTED by 21-C.McAlister at BUF 31. 21-C.McAlister for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +24pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q3 · 8:17·BUF 6, BAL 9

   (8:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BAL-22-S.Rolle, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +15pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:01·BUF 0, BAL 3

   (5:01) 9-S.McNair pass short middle intended for 85-D.Mason INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Fletcher-Baker at BAL 39. 59-L.Fletcher-Baker to BAL 39 for no gain (89-M.Clayton).

   +14pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 14:29·BUF 0, BAL 6

   (14:29) 21-W.McGahee left end to BUF 25 for 3 yards (52-R.Lewis). FUMBLES (52-R.Lewis), RECOVERED by BAL-97-K.Gregg at BUF 25. 97-K.Gregg to BUF 25 for no gain (21-W.McGahee).

   +9pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 12:05·BUF 0, BAL 0

   (12:05) 9-S.McNair scrambles up the middle to BUF 29 for 13 yards (24-T.McGee).

   +8pp

   BAL