Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:21·MIA 0, NE 6

   (10:21) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:07·MIA 0, NE 0

   (12:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-D.Lewis to NE 43 for 17 yards (20-R.Jones).

   +9pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 5:23·MIA 0, NE 9

   (5:23) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right intended for 18-R.Matthews INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan at MIA 40. 26-L.Ryan pushed ob at MIA 39 for 1 yard (18-R.Matthews).

   +9pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 8:43·MIA 0, NE 7

   (8:43) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 18-R.Matthews ran ob at MIA 34 for 15 yards. MIA-70-J.James was injured during the play.

   +6pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:14·MIA 0, NE 0

   (13:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 29-L.Blount to NE 41 for 2 yards (31-M.Thomas; 52-K.Sheppard). PENALTY on NE-80-D.Amendola, Illegal Crackback, 15 yards, enforced at NE 39 - No Play.

   +6pp

   MIA