Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:46·NE 7, MIA 7

   (3:46) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 11-M.Wallace to MIA 37 for 3 yards (91-J.Collins). FUMBLES (91-J.Collins), RECOVERED by NE-51-J.Mayo at MIA 35.

   +17pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:06·NE 10, MIA 7

   (13:06) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep left intended for 11-M.Wallace INTERCEPTED by 37-A.Dennard [54-D.Hightower] at NE 6. 37-A.Dennard to NE 6 for no gain (11-M.Wallace).

   +12pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 9:14·NE 20, MIA 13

   (9:14) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 34 for -3 yards (91-C.Wake). FUMBLES (91-C.Wake) [91-C.Wake], RECOVERED by MIA-25-L.Delmas at NE 34. 25-L.Delmas to NE 34 for no gain (12-T.Brady).

   +11pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q3 · 7:01·NE 20, MIA 19

   (7:01) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 11-M.Wallace for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:22·NE 17, MIA 7

   (7:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-L.Miller right guard to NE 40 for 13 yards (26-L.Ryan). FUMBLES (26-L.Ryan), RECOVERED by NE-24-D.Revis at NE 34. 24-D.Revis to NE 34 for no gain (26-L.Miller).

   +9pp

   NWE