Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 7:51·MIA 17, NE 10

   (7:51) 17-R.Tannehill sacked at MIA 13 for -10 yards (26-L.Ryan). FUMBLES (26-L.Ryan) [26-L.Ryan], RECOVERED by NE-50-R.Ninkovich at MIA 13. 50-R.Ninkovich to MIA 13 for no gain (68-R.Incognito). 35th consecutive game that NE has forced a turnover, longest active streak.

   +16pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 13:16·MIA 17, NE 20

   (13:16) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right intended for 11-M.Wallace INTERCEPTED by 23-M.Cole (32-D.McCourty) [50-R.Ninkovich] at NE 18. 23-M.Cole ran ob at NE 18 for no gain. The Replay Assistant challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:19·MIA 0, NE 0

   (12:19) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 87-R.Gronkowski INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Patterson at NE 42. 24-D.Patterson to NE 40 for 2 yards (87-R.Gronkowski).

   +14pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q3 · 0:13·MIA 17, NE 20

   (:13) 3-S.Gostkowski 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.

   +11pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 10:27·MIA 17, NE 20

   (10:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles right guard to MIA 26 for 8 yards (52-P.Wheeler).

   +8pp

   NWE