Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 8:41·NYJ 0, IND 0

   (8:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right intended for 81-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Pryor [41-B.Skrine] at IND 38. 25-C.Pryor to IND 9 for 29 yards (12-A.Luck).

   +18pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q3 · 5:21·NYJ 10, IND 0

   (5:21) (Run formation) 76-J.Reitz and 54-D.Parry reported in as eligible. 23-F.Gore left end to NYJ 1 for no gain. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by NYJ-24-D.Revis at NYJ 1. 24-D.Revis to NYJ 1 for no gain (84-J.Doyle). The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Run formation) 76-J.Reitz and 54-D.Parry reported in as eligible. 23-F.Gore left end to NYJ 1 for no gain. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by NYJ-24-D.Revis at NYJ 0. Touchback. PENALTY on NYJ-56-D.Davis, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10 yards, enforced at NYJ 20.

   +16pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 8:45·NYJ 10, IND 7

   (8:45) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left to 81-Q.Enunwa to IND 39 for 27 yards (25-J.Brown).

   +12pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:30·NYJ 7, IND 0

   (8:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left intended for 15-B.Marshall INTERCEPTED by 29-M.Adams (21-V.Davis) at IND -1. Touchback.

   +9pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 12:20·NYJ 0, IND 0

   (12:20) (Run formation) 33-C.Ivory up the middle to IND 42 for -2 yards (96-H.Anderson; 50-J.Freeman).

   +9pp

   IND