Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:34·IND 24, NYJ 27

   7-M.Gramatica kicks 73 yards from IND 30 to NYJ -3. 22-J.Miller for 103 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +41pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:40·IND 17, NYJ 21

   (3:40) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete deep left to 87-R.Wayne. PENALTY on NYJ-22-J.Miller, Defensive Pass Interference, 22 yards, enforced at NYJ 30 - No Play.

   +22pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:09·IND 0, NYJ 0

   (14:09) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington sacked at NYJ 31 for -8 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by IND-91-J.Thomas at NYJ 26. 91-J.Thomas to NYJ 26 for no gain (68-A.Clement).

   +19pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:26·IND 24, NYJ 28

   (1:26) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-M.Harrison ran ob at NYJ 16 for 19 yards.

   +19pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:13·IND 24, NYJ 28

   (1:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne pushed ob at NYJ 1 for 15 yards (22-J.Miller).

   +18pp

   IND