Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 10:08·NYJ 22, IND 23

   (10:08) 85-K.Dilger pass to 88-M.Harrison for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Manning lateral pass to Dilger who passes to Harrison.

   +29pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:22·NYJ 29, IND 28

   (:22) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to IND 40 for no gain (24-R.Mickens).

   +23pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q3 · 6:28·NYJ 16, IND 17

   (6:28) 33-D.Rhodes to IND 25 for -2 yards (94-J.Abraham). FUMBLES (94-J.Abraham), RECOVERED by NYJ-94-J.Abraham at IND 27. Rush for Rhodes, zero yards.

   +20pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q4 · 6:04·NYJ 22, IND 25

   (6:04) 9-J.Hall 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-T.Tupa.

   +17pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:56·NYJ 19, IND 17

   (3:56) 33-D.Rhodes up the middle to IND 35 for no gain (55-M.Jones). FUMBLES (55-M.Jones), RECOVERED by NYJ-21-V.Green at IND 39. 21-V.Green to IND 39 for no gain (81-M.Pollard). IND - Rhodes (33) rushes for zero yards; injured on play.

   +17pp

   NYJ