Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:48·IND 0, NYJ 0

   (12:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 11-D.Avery pushed ob at NYJ 49 for 24 yards (20-K.Wilson).

   +10pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:02·IND 3, NYJ 7

   (13:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Cromartie at IND 33. 31-A.Cromartie for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on NYJ-51-A.Maybin, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at IND 20.

   +8pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:19·IND 3, NYJ 6

   (14:19) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 84-S.Hill for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q1 · 9:15·IND 0, NYJ 0

   (9:15) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep right to 80-C.Fleener. PENALTY on NYJ-39-A.Allen, Defensive Pass Interference, 28 yards, enforced at IND 41 - No Play.

   +8pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 4:27·IND 3, NYJ 0

   (4:27) 23-S.Greene up the middle to IND 44 for 21 yards (41-A.Bethea).

   +7pp

   NYJ