Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 1:38·NYJ 16, IND 15

   (1:38) (Run formation) 7-C.Painter sacked at IND 12 for -8 yards (97-C.Pace). FUMBLES (97-C.Pace), touched at IND 10, RECOVERED by NYJ-93-M.Douglas at IND 1. 93-M.Douglas for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. 10 sack yards on the play. Indianapolis challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 01:29.)

   +28pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q3 · 15:00·NYJ 9, IND 9

   1-P.McAfee kicks 76 yards from IND 30 to NYJ -6. 16-B.Smith for 106 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:35·NYJ 0, IND 0

   (7:35) 31-D.Brown right tackle to NYJ 31 for no gain (57-Ba.Scott). PENALTY on NYJ-57-Ba.Scott, Tripping, 10 yards, enforced at NYJ 31 - No Play.

   +11pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q3 · 1:29·NYJ 18, IND 15

   (Run formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 6-M.Sanchez pass to 81-D.Keller is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +8pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:00·NYJ 10, IND 15

   (8:00) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 89-J.Cotchery ran ob at IND 46 for 16 yards.

   +7pp

   NYJ