Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 14:16·PIT 3, NE 13

   (14:16) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 81-R.Moss for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 81-Moss now has 1,212 receiving yards for the season, 2nd

   +12pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:02·PIT 10, NE 14

   (10:02) 6-C.Hanson punts 33 yards to PIT 34, Center-66-L.Paxton. 22-W.Gay MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by NE-36-J.Sanders at PIT 34.

   +11pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:17·PIT 13, NE 23

   (10:17) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at NE 35, recovered by NE-81-R.Moss at NE 35. 81-R.Moss to NE 33 for -2 yards. 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-J.Gaffney for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. flea flicker. Backwards pass to Moss on right sideline, then backwards pass back to Brady.

   +11pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 11:40·PIT 9, NE 14

   (11:40) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 44-N.Davenport for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q1 · 10:33·PIT 0, NE 0

   (10:33) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 10-S.Holmes to NE 33 for 13 yards (27-E.Hobbs).

   +9pp

   PIT