Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:17·TEN 0, HOU 0

   (10:17) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick scrambles up the middle to TEN 21 for 14 yards (33-M.Griffin; 39-D.Stafford).

   +11pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:57·TEN 0, HOU 7

   (6:57) 7-Z.Mettenberger pass deep right intended for 15-J.Hunter INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Joseph at TEN 45. 24-J.Joseph pushed ob at TEN 20 for 25 yards (20-B.Sankey). TEN-15-J.Hunter was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +11pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q3 · 8:21·TEN 13, HOU 24

   (8:21) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 80-A.Johnson to TEN 35 for 2 yards (30-J.McCourty). FUMBLES (30-J.McCourty), RECOVERED by TEN-30-J.McCourty at TEN 38. 30-J.McCourty for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 4:47·TEN 14, HOU 30

   (4:47) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left to 10-D.Hopkins for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:24·TEN 0, HOU 24

   (:24) (Shotgun) 7-Z.Mettenberger pass short left to 13-K.Wright to TEN 23 for 9 yards (36-D.Swearinger; 54-M.Mohamed) [99-J.Watt].

   +7pp

   HOU