Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:39·HOU 6, TEN 0

   (12:39) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 18-L.Jean for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TEN-91-D.Morgan, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +20pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:56·HOU 14, TEN 3

   (10:56) 28-C.Johnson right end to HOU 37 for -4 yards (99-J.Watt). FUMBLES (99-J.Watt), RECOVERED by HOU-94-A.Smith at HOU 37.

   +12pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q2 · 8:42·HOU 14, TEN 3

   (8:42) 10-J.Locker pass short middle intended for 89-J.Cook INTERCEPTED by 52-T.Dobbins (95-S.Cody) at TEN 10. 52-T.Dobbins to TEN 3 for 7 yards (10-J.Locker).

   +11pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 12:47·HOU 24, TEN 10

   (12:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker pass deep right to 85-N.Washington pushed ob at HOU 25 for 49 yards (27-Q.Demps).

   +7pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:26·HOU 7, TEN 3

   (7:26) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 81-O.Daniels to HOU 45 for 10 yards (93-M.Martin).

   +6pp

   HOU