Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 9:39·TEN 7, HOU 20

   (9:39) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass deep left intended for 84-T.Thompson INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Manning at HOU 45. 38-D.Manning for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on TEN-76-D.Stewart, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +16pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q2 · 2:50·TEN 7, HOU 14

   (2:50) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck sacked at TEN 8 for -11 yards (99-J.Watt). Penalty on TEN-76-D.Stewart, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +8pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:02·TEN 0, HOU 0

   (14:02) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle to 80-A.Johnson to TEN 24 for 20 yards (92-W.Witherspoon).

   +7pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q1 · 4:19·TEN 0, HOU 7

   (4:19) 44-B.Tate right end to TEN 33 for 5 yards (92-W.Witherspoon, 20-A.Verner).

   +6pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:48·TEN 0, HOU 0

   (14:48) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 80-A.Johnson to TEN 44 for 33 yards (26-J.Babineaux).

   +6pp

   HOU