Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:22·NE 7, MIA 0

   (3:22) 12-T.Brady pass deep right intended for 81-A.Hernandez INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Jones at NE 49. 20-R.Jones for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. Penalty on NE-22-S.Ridley, Low Block, offsetting, enforced at NE 34. Penalty on MIA-50-O.Vernon, Low Block, offsetting.

   +10pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:13·NE 7, MIA 3

   (13:13) (Punt formation) 14-Z.Mesko punts 49 yards to MIA 22, Center-48-D.Aiken, fair catch by 34-M.Thigpen. MIA-27-J.Wilson was injured during the play. His return is Probable. PENALTY on MIA-27-J.Wilson, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at NE 29 - No Play.

   +10pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:04·NE 0, MIA 0

   (14:04) (Punt formation) 2-B.Fields FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIA 8, and recovers at MIA 8. 2-B.Fields to MIA 12 for 4 yards (18-M.Slater).

   +9pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:53·NE 20, MIA 10

   (8:53) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill sacked at NE 15 for -8 yards (51-J.Mayo).

   +9pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 10:12·NE 20, MIA 10

   (10:12) 33-D.Thomas left tackle to NE 13 for 9 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +8pp

   MIA