Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:32·MIA 0, NE 0

   (12:32) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore pass deep right to 82-B.Hartline to NE 30 for 39 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +14pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:59·MIA 17, NE 17

   (10:59) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 83-W.Welker pushed ob at MIA 14 for 42 yards (29-T.Culver). NE 12-Brady now has 4,845 this season, career best. NE 83-Welker 23rd career 100-yard game.

   +14pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 13:50·MIA 9, NE 0

   (13:50) 8-M.Moore pass deep middle to 19-B.Marshall for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q4 · 9:00·MIA 17, NE 20

   (9:00) 3-S.Gostkowski 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.

   +10pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:34·MIA 17, NE 17

   (13:34) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore pass short left to 82-B.Hartline to NE 44 for 10 yards (24-K.Arrington). New England challenged the first down ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1.)

   +10pp

   MIA