Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:02·BUF 24, NYJ 28

   (:02) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass incomplete deep middle to 13-St.Johnson.

   +28pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:09·BUF 24, NYJ 27

   (1:09) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 10-S.Holmes for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +22pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:00·BUF 24, NYJ 21

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left to 17-P.Burress to BUF 18 for 18 yards (26-J.Rogers).

   +17pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:19·BUF 20, NYJ 21

   (2:19) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 16-B.Smith for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:44·BUF 24, NYJ 21

   (2:44) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 88-P.Turner to BUF 35 for 12 yards (43-Br.Scott).

   +14pp

   NYJ