Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:53·NYJ 3, BUF 0

   (:53) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 46, RECOVERED by BUF-99-M.Dareus at NYJ 46.

   +20pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:37·NYJ 3, BUF 0

   (1:37) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle intended for 86-D.Nelson INTERCEPTED by 97-C.Pace at BUF 47. 97-C.Pace to BUF 39 for 8 yards (22-F.Jackson).

   +17pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 2:53·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (2:53) 6-M.Sanchez pass short middle intended for 81-D.Keller INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Byrd at BUF -8. 31-J.Byrd pushed ob at BUF 21 for 29 yards (25-J.McKnight). Receiver overthrown.

   +16pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 10:10·NYJ 6, BUF 0

   (10:10) 22-F.Jackson up the middle to BUF 23 for 1 yard (91-S.Pouha). FUMBLES (91-S.Pouha), RECOVERED by NYJ-36-J.Leonhard at BUF 22. 36-J.Leonhard to BUF 19 for 3 yards (79-E.Pears).

   +15pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:00·NYJ 3, BUF 0

   (1:00) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle intended for 86-D.Nelson INTERCEPTED by 52-D.Harris [51-A.Maybin] at NYJ 49. 52-D.Harris to NYJ 49 for no gain (86-D.Nelson). Pass tipped by D.Harris before interception. Pass thrown under pressure.

   +15pp

   NYJ