Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 13:24·NE 14, MIA 7

   (13:24) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 11-J.Edelman INTERCEPTED by 98-J.Odrick (27-B.Sapp) at NE 48. 98-J.Odrick to NE 9 for 39 yards (84-D.Branch).

   +23pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q3 · 5:03·NE 21, MIA 14

   (5:03) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 19-B.Marshall to NE 1 for 28 yards (32-D.McCourty). Penalty on NE-21-R.Dowling, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +11pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q3 · 0:34·NE 21, MIA 17

   (:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 81-A.Hernandez for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 81-A.Hernandez to MIA 1 for 30 yards (24-S.Smith).

   +11pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 12:35·NE 14, MIA 13

   (12:35) 7-C.Henne pass short middle to 82-B.Hartline for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:27·NE 20, MIA 14

   (8:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   NWE