Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:03·JAX 24, BUF 27

   (:03) 9-R.Lindell 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

   +19pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 4:11·JAX 14, BUF 23

   (4:11) 2-C.Hanson punts 52 yards to BUF 18, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 11-R.Parrish for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key blocks: D.Whitner, K.Thomas. PENALTY on BUF, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +15pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:13·JAX 17, BUF 24

   (1:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard scrambles up the middle to BUF 7 for 16 yards (93-A.Hargrove).

   +15pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:17·JAX 24, BUF 24

   (:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass to 11-R.Parrish pushed ob at JAX 24 for 30 yards (31-S.Starks). Caught along sideline at JAX 24. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.

   +15pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:34·JAX 23, BUF 24

   (:34) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 18-M.Jones for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 3 yds. into end zone, along right sideline.

   +11pp

   JAX