Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 11:01·HOU 3, TEN 0

   (11:01) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass deep right intended for 87-L.Hawkins INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Manning at HOU 13. 38-D.Manning to HOU 13 for no gain (87-L.Hawkins).

   +9pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:08·HOU 16, TEN 0

   (4:08) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 23-A.Foster for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:47·HOU 0, TEN 0

   (5:47) 44-B.Tate left end pushed ob at TEN 42 for 11 yards (33-M.Griffin). PENALTY on TEN-91-J.Jones, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 42.

   +8pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q1 · 6:29·HOU 0, TEN 0

   (6:29) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 23-A.Foster to HOU 47 for 26 yards (55-B.Ruud).

   +7pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q1 · 11:44·HOU 0, TEN 0

   (11:44) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass incomplete deep left to 82-D.Avery. PENALTY on HOU-25-K.Jackson, Defensive Pass Interference, 30 yards, enforced at TEN 22 - No Play.

   +7pp

   TEN