Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 1:31·NE 7, NYJ 7

   (1:31) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 85-A.Hernandez to NYJ 34 for 46 yards (26-D.Lowery).

   +15pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:00·NE 13, NYJ 7

   (1:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 81-R.Moss for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 3:43·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (3:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 83-W.Welker. NE-83-W.Welker was injured during the play. PENALTY on NYJ-33-E.Smith, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NE 46 - No Play.

   +10pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 6:30·NE 7, NYJ 6

   (6:30) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 17-B.Edwards for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on NYJ-17-B.Edwards, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +9pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:34·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (7:34) 3-S.Gostkowski 37 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.

   +9pp

   NYJ